Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+49.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +4.5 | +0.7 | -4.1 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -0.8 | +1.4 | -5.5 | +4.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 27% | 26% | 20% | 27% | -1.6 | -5.3 | +6.5 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 22% | 24% | 28% | +8.7 | -0.8 | -1.3 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 34% | 21% | 22% | 24% | -5.0 | +4.0 | -4.8 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 29% | 24% | 19% | 27% | -0.3 | +15.3 | -4.7 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 36% | 17% | 19% | -3.8 | -1.3 | +5.4 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 36% | 19% | 20% | +8.3 | -3.8 | -0.5 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 30% | 31% | 20% | 19% | -38.8 | +1.0 | -6.6 | +44.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 25% | 9% | 59% | -11.9 | +38.5 | -2.7 | -23.9 |