Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+49.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +5.4 | +0.6 | -3.8 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Yu Suzuki | 28% | 25% | 22% | 24% | -2.1 | +0.5 | -5.1 | +6.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 20% | 28% | -1.5 | -2.4 | +5.3 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 26% | 23% | 23% | 28% | +8.0 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 22% | 21% | 25% | -1.7 | +3.0 | -2.7 | +1.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 29% | 24% | 20% | 26% | -2.0 | +13.1 | -5.5 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 35% | 16% | 21% | -5.1 | +1.3 | +8.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 37% | 21% | 19% | +9.5 | -4.0 | -4.4 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 31% | 31% | 18% | 20% | -39.6 | +1.6 | -5.0 | +43.1 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 25% | 9% | 59% | -11.6 | +37.8 | -2.6 | -23.7 |