Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/14 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +33.6 | +1.0 | -32.6 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 22% | 8% | 21% | +0.3 | -3.8 | +1.1 | +2.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 20% | 8% | 22% | +30.3 | -11.5 | -8.3 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 78% | 9% | 4% | 10% | -0.8 | -3.9 | -0.4 | +5.1 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 79% | 7% | 3% | 11% | -9.3 | +26.4 | -7.5 | -9.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 68% | 19% | 3% | 10% | +4.5 | -4.4 | -4.1 | +4.0 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 74% | 14% | 2% | 10% | +2.0 | +3.6 | -3.4 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 14% | 1% | 8% | -8.9 | +25.1 | -3.4 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 61% | 34% | 1% | 4% | +0.4 | +1.9 | -4.2 | +1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 62% | 35% | 0% | 3% | +23.4 | -7.8 | +3.5 | -19.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 84% | 15% | 0% | 0% | -9.2 | +1.5 | +9.0 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 80% | 19% | 0% | 1% | +1.3 | +0.9 | 0.0 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 80% | 19% | 1% | 1% | +7.7 | -6.8 | -2.6 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 92% | 7% | 0% | 0% | -1.3 | +6.9 | -6.3 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 7,800 | 91% | 9% | 0% | 0% | -2.3 | -3.0 | -6.7 | +12.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 7,800 | 91% | 8% | 0% | 0% | -3.7 | -3.1 | -4.3 | +11.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 89% | 9% | 0% | 2% | +4.5 | -10.8 | +9.3 | -2.9 |