Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/14 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +57.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -18.9 | -7.7 | +32.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 17% | 52% | 20% | -0.6 | +5.9 | -2.2 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 21% | 50% | 17% | +25.2 | -3.3 | -19.5 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 27% | 20% | 35% | 19% | -2.2 | -6.7 | +6.6 | +2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 16% | 39% | 20% | -1.7 | -1.3 | +5.6 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki | 24% | 15% | 44% | 17% | -1.0 | -12.1 | +0.2 | +12.9 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 22% | 9% | 45% | 24% | +0.3 | +2.8 | +1.5 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 22% | 11% | 46% | 21% | +0.4 | +8.4 | -8.6 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 23% | 15% | 39% | 22% | -0.9 | -3.8 | +26.3 | -21.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 6% | 71% | 8% | -3.0 | +3.9 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 5% | 75% | 10% | +57.7 | -3.6 | -37.4 | -16.7 |