Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/14 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -18.7 | -7.0 | +31.5 | -5.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 19% | 50% | 19% | -2.6 | +6.6 | -1.0 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 22% | 49% | 17% | +25.8 | -4.4 | -19.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 27% | 20% | 34% | 19% | -0.8 | -7.2 | +5.5 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 16% | 38% | 20% | -3.3 | -2.8 | +7.5 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro | 22% | 14% | 45% | 19% | -0.1 | -9.0 | -1.3 | +10.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 11% | 43% | 24% | +0.5 | +0.9 | +3.2 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 11% | 47% | 19% | +0.9 | +9.0 | -10.5 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 16% | 37% | 23% | -0.8 | -2.3 | +25.1 | -22.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 14% | 7% | 69% | 9% | -3.1 | +3.0 | +0.5 | -0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 6% | 72% | 11% | +56.9 | -4.3 | -36.3 | -16.4 |