Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/15 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +61.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -2.9 | +0.7 | +0.4 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 21% | 25% | 27% | 27% | -20.4 | -2.9 | +1.7 | +21.6 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 10% | 20% | 26% | 44% | -5.5 | +1.3 | -2.6 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 8% | 20% | 21% | 51% | -1.7 | +26.6 | -23.9 | -1.0 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 6% | 40% | 8% | 46% | -4.2 | -22.9 | +20.5 | +6.6 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,800 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 20% | 18% | 59% | +0.4 | +23.6 | -2.7 | -21.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 45% | 18% | 33% | -5.3 | -3.6 | +4.1 | +4.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 41% | 19% | 37% | +34.8 | +12.1 | -2.7 | -44.1 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 64% | 11% | 12% | -13.8 | -26.0 | +61.6 | -21.9 |