Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/15 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +62.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -5.6 | +1.4 | +1.8 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 21% | 26% | 27% | 27% | -19.6 | -2.3 | -0.1 | +22.0 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 11% | 21% | 25% | 44% | -4.5 | -1.1 | -2.1 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 9% | 18% | 21% | 52% | -1.6 | +28.1 | -24.4 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 6% | 40% | 8% | 46% | -5.2 | -24.2 | +24.3 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,800 from Namba Shibukawa | 3% | 21% | 19% | 57% | -0.7 | +24.9 | -4.3 | -19.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 45% | 19% | 32% | -2.9 | -4.2 | +1.7 | +5.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 3% | 40% | 19% | 38% | +32.3 | +12.7 | -1.9 | -43.1 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 64% | 10% | 13% | -12.6 | -26.2 | +62.1 | -23.4 |