Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/15 Game 2
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 18,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +47.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -3.3 | +5.3 | -0.2 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 27% | 27% | 26% | -10.6 | -17.3 | -9.8 | +37.6 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 18,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 13% | 14% | 17% | 56% | -1.7 | -38.5 | +47.5 | -7.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 2% | 51% | 39% | +21.7 | -2.2 | +2.7 | -22.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 19% | 2% | 58% | 22% | -2.6 | 0.0 | -3.5 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 2% | 54% | 26% | +6.2 | -2.6 | +0.6 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 1% | 54% | 23% | -1.1 | +12.6 | +6.5 | -18.0 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 18% | 3% | 67% | 12% | +5.1 | -5.1 | -0.6 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 0% | 68% | 11% | -11.2 | -4.7 | +24.2 | -8.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 2% | 0% | 95% | 3% | +6.4 | -4.7 | -0.4 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -4.2 | 0.0 | +8.3 | -4.2 |