Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/15 Game 2
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 18,000 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +48.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.3 | +2.2 | +1.5 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 27% | 24% | 27% | -7.9 | -18.4 | -8.2 | +34.4 |
| East 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 18,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 14% | 12% | 17% | 57% | -4.6 | -38.6 | +48.5 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 2% | 51% | 41% | +22.4 | -0.8 | +1.9 | -23.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 1% | 57% | 24% | -2.5 | -0.5 | -2.1 | +5.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 1% | 54% | 26% | +4.3 | -1.9 | +1.7 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 21% | 1% | 57% | 21% | +0.4 | +11.4 | +5.1 | -16.9 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 17% | 3% | 68% | 12% | +4.5 | -4.8 | -1.1 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 0% | 67% | 12% | -10.6 | -4.1 | +23.7 | -9.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 2% | 0% | 94% | 4% | +5.6 | -4.9 | 0.0 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -3.5 | 0.0 | +8.6 | -5.1 |