Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

3/18 Game 1

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +40.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Ooi Takaharu● Suzuki Yu● Suzuki Daisuke● Daigo Hiroshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Ooi● Suzuki● Suzuki● Daigo
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi25%23%27%25%-0.1+1.8+2.9-4.5
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke25%25%29%21%-2.0+23.4-19.7-1.7
East 2, 1 honbaDraw22%43%15%20%-3.6+2.5+2.7-1.6
East 2, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 5,20020%45%17%19%+23.8-11.4-5.8-6.6
East 3Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke38%32%15%16%-1.5+1.4-30.0+30.0
East 4Draw34%32%3%32%-4.0-2.5-0.2+6.7
East 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke ron 2,600 from Daigo Hiroshi30%29%3%38%+1.9+0.2+5.6-7.7
South 1Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu32%32%5%31%-8.6+1.7-0.4+7.3
South 2Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,50023%33%5%40%+6.5-5.4-2.1+1.0
South 3Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu29%26%4%41%-31.1+40.5-5.6-3.8
South 4Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi1%80%0%19%+27.1+8.6-0.4-35.2

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)