Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

3/18 Game 1

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +40.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Takaharu Ooi● Yu Suzuki● Daisuke Suzuki● Hiroshi Daigo0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Takaharu● Yu● Daisuke● Hiroshi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
East 1Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo26%25%24%25%-0.5+0.8+4.7-5.1
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki25%26%26%23%-0.6+22.4-18.9-2.9
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw23%43%15%19%-3.6+1.6+4.9-2.9
East 2, 2 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 5,20020%45%18%17%+20.3-9.2-7.4-3.7
East 3Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki35%34%14%16%-2.4-0.1-28.8+31.3
East 4Exhaustive draw30%32%3%35%+0.5-3.6-1.9+5.1
East 4, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Hiroshi Daigo31%28%3%39%-0.5+2.8+6.5-8.8
South 1Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki32%32%5%32%-6.9-0.1-1.0+8.1
South 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,50024%32%4%40%+6.2-4.5-2.4+0.7
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki30%27%3%41%-31.2+40.4-4.1-5.1
South 4Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo1%80%0%19%+26.8+8.5-0.9-34.3

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)