Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/18 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+74.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +5.7 | -4.3 | -5.2 | +3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 28% | -15.2 | +33.4 | -10.1 | -8.1 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sugawara Hiroe | 15% | 49% | 15% | 21% | -0.6 | +0.7 | +15.3 | -15.4 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 16% | 48% | 23% | 13% | -1.8 | +4.7 | -23.3 | +20.3 |
| East 4 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,500 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 55% | 10% | 22% | +1.2 | -2.1 | -3.3 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 13% | 53% | 9% | 25% | -0.5 | -5.1 | -24.1 | +29.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 10% | 39% | 3% | 48% | +0.2 | +11.5 | -1.7 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 10% | 54% | 2% | 34% | -4.5 | -6.3 | -10.8 | +21.6 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 3% | 38% | 1% | 59% | +1.1 | +35.9 | +1.7 | -38.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 89% | 1% | 9% | -2.5 | -2.1 | +1.6 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 90% | 1% | 9% | -0.9 | +11.7 | -10.7 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -1.4 | -2.0 | -0.9 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | -2.9 | -3.6 | -2.4 | +8.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 9% | -4.5 | -29.9 | -4.2 | +38.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 30% | 0% | 70% | +0.2 | +31.9 | -2.8 | -29.2 |