Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/19 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -9.7 | -3.4 | +15.1 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 23% | 37% | 22% | +5.0 | +0.8 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 24% | 33% | 21% | +16.7 | -7.0 | -8.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 33% | 18% | 27% | 22% | +12.2 | -1.4 | -9.4 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 45% | 17% | 19% | 20% | -4.6 | -2.1 | -1.3 | +8.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700 | 40% | 16% | 19% | 25% | +11.5 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 52% | 14% | 16% | 19% | +2.0 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 13% | 14% | 17% | -5.8 | -21.0 | -7.4 | +34.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 45% | 2% | 9% | 44% | +10.4 | -3.4 | -4.2 | -2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,500 from Nikaido Aki | 65% | 0% | 2% | 33% | -12.5 | -4.4 | +0.3 | +16.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 33% | 0% | 2% | 65% | -6.0 | -1.0 | -0.3 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 21% | 0% | 2% | 77% | -6.4 | -2.9 | +1.4 | +7.9 |