Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/19 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+65.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -0.6 | +20.7 | -19.9 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 40% | 13% | 25% | -0.7 | -3.6 | +4.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 37% | 15% | 25% | -3.4 | -1.9 | +9.0 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 37% | 19% | 23% | +25.4 | -4.9 | -14.0 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 41% | 30% | 12% | 17% | -2.0 | -11.2 | +1.0 | +12.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 23% | 12% | 26% | +25.8 | -6.2 | -6.8 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 67% | 14% | 6% | 13% | +6.5 | -2.7 | -0.8 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 75% | 11% | 6% | 9% | -3.3 | -3.2 | -18.8 | +25.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 8% | 2% | 21% | +18.3 | -10.0 | -2.7 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 91% | 0% | 1% | 7% | +2.9 | +17.6 | -5.8 | -14.7 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -8.6 | -16.5 | -5.1 | +30.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | -4.0 | -1.1 | -1.6 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 16,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 79% | 0% | 0% | 21% | +8.6 | -37.4 | +39.1 | -10.3 |