Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/21 Game 1
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +44.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -12.6 | -4.1 | +13.7 | +3.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 22% | 34% | 27% | -2.7 | +4.2 | -1.8 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 16% | 25% | 32% | 27% | -1.3 | +19.0 | -16.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 39% | 22% | 25% | +17.8 | -5.9 | -8.9 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 35% | 17% | 23% | +3.6 | +1.0 | -5.0 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 28% | 35% | 14% | 23% | -1.7 | +1.9 | -2.2 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 37% | 12% | 25% | -5.0 | +1.4 | +11.6 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 1,500 from Honda Tomohiro | 22% | 40% | 20% | 19% | +6.7 | -8.9 | -0.2 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 29% | 30% | 19% | 22% | -32.3 | +1.4 | -3.4 | +34.3 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 7% | 28% | 14% | 51% | -3.0 | -31.2 | +31.4 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 4% | 7% | 33% | 56% | -8.1 | -1.3 | -5.6 | +15.0 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 3% | 17% | 79% | -8.7 | +0.5 | +44.9 | -36.8 |