Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +26.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -11.9 | -5.3 | +26.6 | -9.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 16% | 20% | 44% | 20% | -0.2 | -10.1 | +7.2 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 14% | 50% | 21% | -2.2 | +12.5 | -3.5 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Hiroe Sugawara | 15% | 22% | 48% | 16% | -14.3 | -4.6 | -2.0 | +20.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 18% | 44% | 29% | +3.1 | +1.3 | +3.0 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Hiroe Sugawara | 9% | 19% | 49% | 23% | -10.5 | +6.6 | +3.5 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 20% | 54% | 22% | -3.2 | -2.6 | +8.7 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 13% | 67% | 18% | -5.2 | -5.5 | +1.7 | +9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 8% | 74% | 18% | +23.7 | -33.8 | +11.9 | -1.9 |