Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -14.1 | -4.3 | +25.8 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 15% | 21% | 44% | 20% | +2.7 | -11.1 | +8.7 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 13% | 52% | 19% | -4.5 | +12.4 | -5.3 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Sugawara Hiroe | 14% | 20% | 48% | 18% | -14.0 | -3.3 | -1.4 | +18.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 8% | 18% | 45% | 29% | +5.3 | +1.1 | +3.4 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Sugawara Hiroe | 11% | 18% | 50% | 21% | -13.7 | +8.1 | +2.8 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 22% | 53% | 22% | -1.5 | -4.8 | +9.4 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 13% | 68% | 18% | -5.8 | -4.7 | +0.5 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 7% | 73% | 19% | +23.9 | -33.7 | +12.2 | -2.4 |