Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/22 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -10.7 | -4.1 | +20.6 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 21% | 40% | 20% | -4.4 | -2.4 | +1.2 | +5.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 19% | 42% | 25% | +4.6 | -5.6 | +3.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 15% | 45% | 23% | -3.0 | +13.5 | -1.3 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 22% | 45% | 18% | -0.4 | +1.3 | -12.0 | +11.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 16% | 25% | 34% | 25% | +21.8 | -19.9 | +1.1 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 30% | 14% | 34% | 22% | -9.7 | -1.5 | +10.3 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 12% | 45% | 22% | +0.9 | -4.6 | +22.3 | -18.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 4% | 75% | 8% | -7.4 | -3.9 | +15.4 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 93% | 4% | -9.8 | +25.8 | -4.6 | -11.3 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 3% | 93% | 3% | -3.7 | +9.8 | +3.5 | -9.6 |