Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/22 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +21.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -13.1 | -6.3 | +21.0 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 21% | 38% | 24% | -1.5 | -4.4 | +1.9 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 18% | 42% | 24% | +0.6 | -3.1 | +4.0 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 16% | 16% | 44% | 24% | -0.4 | +13.3 | -1.2 | -11.7 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 23% | 45% | 17% | 0.0 | +1.5 | -11.9 | +10.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 17% | 26% | 33% | 24% | +20.9 | -22.3 | +1.4 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 32% | 13% | 33% | 23% | -10.8 | -0.2 | +11.0 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 19% | 13% | 46% | 23% | +2.7 | -4.6 | +19.5 | -17.6 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 4% | 73% | 9% | -8.2 | -4.4 | +16.5 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 91% | 5% | -10.3 | +27.2 | -4.3 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 3% | 92% | 4% | -3.2 | +9.1 | +3.9 | -9.7 |