Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/25 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.0 | -1.8 | -3.3 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 23% | 23% | 31% | -3.9 | +11.3 | -3.7 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 33% | 20% | 28% | -3.2 | +17.2 | -7.4 | -6.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 6,400 | 17% | 45% | 15% | 23% | -5.0 | -14.4 | -4.0 | +23.3 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 31% | 14% | 41% | +12.8 | +1.1 | -12.0 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi | 21% | 32% | 8% | 39% | -4.9 | -1.4 | -11.7 | +17.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 27% | 4% | 55% | +30.5 | -12.8 | -4.8 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 18% | 2% | 40% | -12.9 | -1.9 | +15.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 29% | 20% | 7% | 44% | -15.7 | -2.3 | +11.1 | +6.9 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,500 from Okada Sayaka | 17% | 16% | 12% | 54% | -4.6 | +0.8 | +3.9 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 16% | 13% | 55% | -7.6 | -3.2 | -17.4 | +28.1 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 3% | 1% | 95% | +21.2 | -11.3 | -8.7 | -1.2 |