Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/25 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.2 | +0.3 | -4.8 | +8.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 23% | 23% | 33% | -2.0 | +9.8 | -1.8 | -6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 30% | 21% | 28% | -5.5 | +18.8 | -8.7 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 6,400 | 16% | 46% | 16% | 22% | -3.3 | -14.1 | -3.7 | +21.2 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 32% | 13% | 40% | +14.3 | -1.0 | -12.2 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 23% | 32% | 8% | 37% | -2.3 | -1.5 | -13.0 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 26% | 4% | 53% | +24.8 | -8.8 | -3.8 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 20% | 2% | 39% | -10.0 | -5.0 | +15.4 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 31% | 19% | 8% | 43% | -17.6 | 0.0 | +11.2 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,500 from Sayaka Okada | 17% | 18% | 13% | 53% | -5.4 | +0.9 | +4.0 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 17% | 14% | 54% | -7.2 | -5.0 | -17.6 | +29.8 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 97% | +21.8 | -11.1 | -9.0 | -1.7 |