Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/25 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -5.6 | +0.4 | +1.2 | +4.0 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Okada Sayaka | 22% | 24% | 24% | 30% | +0.1 | +8.0 | -6.5 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 30% | 20% | 29% | +11.1 | -5.4 | -4.6 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 29% | 24% | 18% | 28% | -5.0 | -3.1 | +4.9 | +3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,300 from Suzuki Taro | 26% | 22% | 22% | 30% | +9.1 | -6.2 | -2.9 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 7,800 | 33% | 18% | 18% | 31% | -8.0 | -11.6 | -8.0 | +27.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 23% | 10% | 12% | 54% | -3.2 | +27.7 | -22.7 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 19% | 25% | 5% | 51% | -23.7 | +1.9 | +16.4 | +5.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 6% | 26% | 8% | 61% | -0.4 | +4.1 | -6.3 | +2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya | 6% | 27% | 6% | 61% | -6.6 | +10.6 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 36% | 5% | 56% | -6.1 | -4.3 | +10.8 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 32% | 8% | 59% | -3.9 | -7.1 | +4.2 | +6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 21% | 8% | 69% | -2.7 | -2.9 | +8.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 1% | 20% | 13% | 66% | +27.9 | +17.4 | -13.9 | -31.4 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 55% | 9% | 24% | -4.4 | +30.7 | -17.3 | -8.9 |