Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/28 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 26% | 27% | 23% | 24% | -6.3 | +3.7 | +1.2 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 20% | 28% | 27% | 26% | +0.4 | -10.0 | +1.6 | +8.0 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 21% | 27% | 31% | -9.3 | +37.0 | -20.2 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 53% | 12% | 22% | -2.1 | +0.5 | +13.6 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 54% | 19% | 14% | +3.4 | -1.2 | +2.1 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,400 from Yu Suzuki | 15% | 53% | 20% | 13% | -3.7 | -1.3 | -20.4 | +25.4 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 51% | 10% | 29% | -12.0 | -20.8 | +46.3 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 7% | 27% | 44% | 22% | -24.4 | -7.0 | +34.3 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 7% | 85% | 8% | -3.5 | -12.7 | -8.6 | +24.7 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 3% | 76% | 20% | +0.2 | -6.0 | +0.3 | +5.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 76% | 23% | -1.4 | +3.0 | -3.7 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 3% | 70% | 27% | -0.4 | -5.8 | +17.2 | -11.0 |