Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/28 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+87.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 0.0 | -7.7 | +1.9 | +5.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 19% | 26% | 29% | -15.0 | -3.1 | +25.7 | -7.6 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 15% | 17% | 47% | 21% | +1.0 | -6.4 | -1.3 | +6.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 13% | 44% | 27% | -3.7 | -5.7 | +5.0 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 10% | 49% | 28% | +14.1 | 0.0 | +1.6 | -15.6 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 9% | 52% | 18% | -16.7 | -11.9 | -20.6 | +49.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 5% | 26% | 61% | +0.6 | +0.5 | -13.4 | +12.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 4% | 13% | 75% | -7.0 | -4.7 | -10.4 | +22.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 2% | 3% | 94% | -9.7 | +0.3 | +3.3 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | -1.1 | +14.0 | -12.7 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | +2.0 | +2.8 | -2.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | -5.7 | +1.9 | +3.4 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 97% | -0.5 | -8.6 | -1.2 | +10.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.2 | +3.3 | +1.9 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -11.3 | -2.8 | +17.6 | -3.5 |