Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

3/29 Game 1

Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+80.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +42.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Asami Maki 1st-place chance	Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Asami Maki Expected pt change	Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change
East 1	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	25%	24%	24%	27%	+31.4	-9.9	-11.0	-10.5
East 1, 1 honba	Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke	48%	17%	16%	18%	-1.5	-0.9	+20.8	-18.5
East 2	Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000	46%	16%	28%	10%	-4.3	-12.7	-3.0	+20.0
East 3	Asami Maki tsumo 18,000	44%	10%	28%	19%	-19.7	-11.6	+46.2	-15.0
East 3, 1 honba	Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Hori Shingo	17%	5%	70%	8%	0.0	-5.9	+5.8	+0.1
East 3, 2 honba	Draw	16%	3%	75%	6%	-1.5	-2.1	+3.8	-0.2
East 3, 3 honba	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200	14%	2%	78%	6%	+15.8	-3.5	-7.4	-5.0
East 4	Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke	23%	2%	71%	5%	-1.0	+5.1	+2.2	-6.3
South 1	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000	20%	2%	75%	3%	+42.4	-8.2	-25.5	-8.7
South 1, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Asami Maki	71%	1%	27%	1%	+11.4	-1.6	-11.0	+1.2
South 1, 2 honba	Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200	86%	1%	13%	1%	-3.3	+12.0	-1.2	-7.5
South 2	Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo	87%	1%	12%	0%	-2.9	-15.0	+14.6	+3.4
South 3	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,700	79%	0%	21%	0%	+11.2	-2.1	-10.7	+1.5
South 4	Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Asami Maki	97%	0%	3%	0%	+3.3	-5.2	-2.3	+4.2

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)