Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/18 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +52.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +9.7 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -3.0 | +11.2 | +0.6 | -8.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 30% | 24% | 19% | +35.2 | -18.9 | -7.7 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 18,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 59% | 13% | 15% | 12% | -49.9 | +2.9 | +47.1 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 17% | 55% | 12% | -3.3 | -4.1 | +9.7 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 12% | 66% | 10% | +37.1 | -7.1 | -18.7 | -11.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 11% | 43% | 8% | +22.4 | -4.6 | -8.3 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 65% | 6% | 27% | 3% | -23.5 | -4.0 | +8.4 | +19.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 40% | 7% | 45% | 9% | +13.5 | -3.9 | -7.5 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,500 | 60% | 2% | 31% | 7% | -1.6 | -1.8 | +4.5 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 56% | 1% | 36% | 7% | +3.0 | -8.4 | -9.7 | +15.0 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 66% | 1% | 21% | 12% | -7.5 | -5.0 | -11.7 | +24.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 57% | 0% | 17% | 25% | -31.1 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +30.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 13% | 0% | 12% | 74% | -21.7 | -1.0 | +52.6 | -29.9 |