Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

9/18 Game 2

Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +52.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Hagiwara Masato● Suzuki Daisuke● Shiratori Sho● Matsugase Takaya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hagiwara● Suzuki● Shiratori● Matsugase
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
East 1Draw24%26%25%26%+9.7-3.7-3.0-3.0
East 1, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya30%23%23%24%-3.0+11.2+0.6-8.8
East 2Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,00027%30%24%19%+35.2-18.9-7.7-8.6
East 3Hagiwara Masato ron 18,000 from Suzuki Daisuke59%13%15%12%-49.9+2.9+47.1-0.2
East 3, 1 honbaDraw15%17%55%12%-3.3-4.1+9.7-2.3
East 3, 2 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,00012%12%66%10%+37.1-7.1-18.7-11.4
East 4Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,00039%11%43%8%+22.4-4.6-8.3-9.5
South 1Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke65%6%27%3%-23.5-4.0+8.4+19.1
South 2Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato40%7%45%9%+13.5-3.9-7.5-2.1
South 3Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,50060%2%31%7%-1.6-1.8+4.5-1.1
South 3, 1 honbaMatsugase Takaya tsumo 5,20056%1%36%7%+3.0-8.4-9.7+15.0
South 4Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,80066%1%21%12%-7.5-5.0-11.7+24.2
South 4, 1 honbaMatsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke57%0%17%25%-31.10.0+0.2+30.8
South 4, 2 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke13%0%12%74%-21.7-1.0+52.6-29.9

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)