Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/19 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Hori Shingo ron 18,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 29% | 24% | 24% | 23% | +28.0 | -1.4 | -27.4 | +0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 20% | 9% | 21% | -12.8 | +22.1 | -4.2 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 36% | 37% | 10% | 18% | -0.6 | +3.3 | -1.5 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 35% | 40% | 8% | 17% | -5.2 | +9.9 | -2.4 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 18,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 28% | 49% | 7% | 16% | -4.0 | +35.6 | +3.4 | -35.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 14% | 82% | 3% | 2% | +0.4 | +3.4 | -0.3 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Draw | 11% | 84% | 3% | 2% | -0.9 | 0.0 | -2.3 | +3.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Draw | 10% | 86% | 2% | 1% | +0.3 | -1.2 | -3.0 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 10% | 86% | 1% | 2% | -1.1 | -0.2 | -11.1 | +12.4 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 86% | 1% | 3% | -2.1 | +7.8 | -0.3 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 5% | 94% | 1% | 1% | -3.7 | +0.8 | -3.6 | +6.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Watanabe Futoshi | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +1.6 | -0.6 | +1.5 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +5.2 | +0.5 | -8.0 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +0.6 | +3.8 | -1.6 | -2.8 |