Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/19 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Shingo Hori ron 18,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +27.3 | +0.3 | -28.7 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 22% | 9% | 22% | -12.1 | +22.2 | -5.1 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 35% | 38% | 7% | 19% | -0.8 | +1.9 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,000 | 34% | 39% | 8% | 19% | -3.4 | +10.7 | -4.4 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 18,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 30% | 49% | 5% | 16% | -3.8 | +33.4 | +5.4 | -35.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 14% | 79% | 4% | 2% | 0.0 | +4.9 | +0.2 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 83% | 3% | 1% | -1.5 | -0.9 | -2.0 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 84% | 3% | 2% | -0.2 | +0.1 | -3.4 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 10% | 87% | 2% | 2% | -0.7 | -0.2 | -12.0 | +12.9 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 86% | 0% | 3% | -3.0 | +6.9 | -0.4 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 94% | 0% | 1% | -3.0 | +1.4 | -1.7 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Futoshi Watanabe | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +0.9 | -0.9 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +5.5 | +1.1 | -8.2 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +0.6 | +3.6 | -1.1 | -3.1 |