Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/21 Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +3.2 | +0.4 | -1.6 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | +19.5 | +1.2 | -17.9 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 42% | 24% | 13% | 21% | -1.3 | -0.7 | +8.5 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 41% | 24% | 17% | 17% | +7.3 | -4.5 | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 48% | 19% | 17% | 16% | +6.7 | -0.3 | -5.1 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 56% | 19% | 11% | 14% | +28.7 | +1.3 | +1.5 | -31.5 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 8% | 4% | 2% | -5.5 | -8.2 | +18.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 83% | 6% | 10% | 1% | +2.4 | -10.9 | +8.7 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 87% | 1% | 11% | 1% | -2.3 | -1.6 | +4.8 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 84% | 1% | 14% | 1% | +3.7 | -29.9 | -4.9 | +31.0 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 93% | 0% | 3% | 4% | +11.1 | -9.0 | +1.4 | -3.5 |