Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/21 Game 1
Arisa Date finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +1.8 | +1.7 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | +21.1 | -2.3 | -16.8 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 42% | 23% | 13% | 22% | -2.5 | +0.4 | +8.8 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 40% | 24% | 18% | 18% | +6.8 | -3.2 | -1.1 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 48% | 20% | 16% | 16% | +8.9 | -0.7 | -7.5 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 57% | 17% | 11% | 15% | +28.8 | -0.9 | +3.5 | -31.4 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 7% | 5% | 1% | -8.0 | -7.2 | +20.3 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 80% | 6% | 12% | 2% | +4.3 | -10.4 | +6.0 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 1% | 10% | 1% | -2.5 | -2.0 | +5.2 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 84% | 1% | 14% | 1% | +4.0 | -29.2 | -4.2 | +29.5 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 94% | 0% | 3% | 3% | +10.8 | -9.4 | +1.1 | -2.4 |