Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/21 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -9.4 | -0.5 | +8.2 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 26% | 31% | 25% | -3.7 | -13.3 | -7.5 | +24.6 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 14% | 24% | 46% | -6.4 | -4.1 | +17.7 | -7.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 13% | 37% | 38% | -3.9 | -3.7 | -12.1 | +19.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 11% | 23% | 56% | +6.4 | -3.1 | -0.1 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 9% | 24% | 55% | +38.5 | -11.4 | -14.6 | -12.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,200 from Okada Sayaka | 39% | 6% | 15% | 40% | -2.8 | -8.7 | +11.0 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 36% | 4% | 22% | 38% | -16.8 | -5.6 | -0.7 | +23.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 0% | 16% | 70% | -14.3 | -6.6 | +44.3 | -23.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 9,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 5% | 0% | 67% | 28% | +3.9 | +0.7 | +21.8 | -26.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 94% | 5% | -11.3 | -3.2 | -8.7 | +23.2 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 86% | 14% | +3.8 | +0.2 | +2.5 | -6.6 |