Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/21 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +43.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -10.2 | +2.0 | +7.0 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 26% | 29% | 26% | -2.9 | -13.0 | -5.9 | +21.8 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 16% | 23% | 44% | -7.8 | -6.9 | +19.3 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 12% | 38% | 38% | -3.3 | -2.3 | -12.1 | +17.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 10% | 24% | 56% | +5.8 | -2.5 | -3.4 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 10% | 21% | 59% | +38.9 | -10.8 | -12.8 | -15.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,200 from Sayaka Okada | 40% | 6% | 15% | 38% | -3.1 | -10.8 | +12.4 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 36% | 3% | 22% | 39% | -16.9 | -3.7 | -1.6 | +22.2 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 1% | 16% | 71% | -14.0 | -7.2 | +43.6 | -22.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 9,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 5% | 0% | 66% | 29% | +3.5 | +1.3 | +22.0 | -26.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -11.6 | -3.5 | -7.6 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 87% | 13% | +4.2 | +0.2 | +2.1 | -6.5 |