Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/22 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +40.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +21.5 | -4.5 | -9.9 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 16,000 | 40% | 21% | 18% | 21% | -19.0 | -11.5 | +40.8 | -10.3 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 15% | 48% | 14% | -7.1 | +14.1 | -4.0 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 18% | 23% | 45% | 14% | +11.0 | -13.2 | +2.9 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 14% | 48% | 13% | -11.1 | -7.8 | +26.6 | -7.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 7% | 75% | 6% | -2.2 | -3.2 | +2.7 | +2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 5% | 78% | 7% | -7.5 | -7.4 | +21.0 | -6.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 1% | 94% | 2% | -3.3 | +8.0 | -2.3 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 2% | 94% | 2% | -6.7 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -13.3 | -1.3 | -1.3 | +15.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 93% | 4% | -3.8 | +6.5 | +0.8 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | +6.1 | +0.4 | -4.6 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 2% | 2% | 93% | 3% | -5.4 | -3.6 | -13.6 | +22.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 4% | 83% | 12% | +1.5 | +3.8 | -2.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 1% | 5% | 81% | 13% | -5.8 | +7.6 | -0.2 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 7% | 81% | 11% | +10.9 | -10.0 | +2.9 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 89% | 9% | -5.0 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +6.5 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -10.7 | +35.0 | +0.6 | -24.8 |