Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/22 Game 2
Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +26.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -15.0 | -8.6 | -2.8 | +26.3 |
| East 2 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 18% | 21% | 46% | -3.7 | -10.6 | -6.1 | +20.4 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 10% | 15% | 67% | -2.1 | -2.3 | -8.7 | +13.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 6% | 6% | 82% | -2.4 | -3.1 | +2.6 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,600 from Suzuki Yu | 5% | 5% | 6% | 85% | +5.9 | -0.9 | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 6% | 3% | 6% | 85% | -5.1 | -3.0 | +20.5 | -12.5 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 6% | 16% | 75% | -6.4 | -11.2 | +17.1 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 1% | 1% | 22% | 76% | +9.4 | -3.7 | -13.5 | +7.8 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 1% | 0% | 5% | 94% | -28.7 | +25.3 | +3.2 | +0.2 |