Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/22 Game 2
Hiroe Sugawara finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000, which moved Hiroe Sugawara's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -15.6 | -7.8 | -5.0 | +28.4 |
| East 2 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 18% | 20% | 48% | -4.0 | -13.1 | -4.4 | +21.5 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 8% | 14% | 69% | -2.8 | 0.0 | -9.3 | +12.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 6% | 7% | 83% | -2.3 | -3.8 | +3.0 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,600 from Yu Suzuki | 4% | 5% | 6% | 85% | +7.4 | -0.5 | -4.1 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 6% | 4% | 5% | 85% | -5.2 | -3.5 | +19.9 | -11.2 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 6% | 13% | 77% | -6.6 | -10.5 | +18.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 1% | 23% | 75% | +10.0 | -3.9 | -13.7 | +7.6 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 1% | 0% | 5% | 94% | -29.1 | +25.2 | +3.2 | +0.7 |