Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/26 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Maki Asami ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +22.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -0.3 | -16.8 | +16.5 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 15% | 36% | 25% | +32.1 | -15.8 | -8.7 | -7.6 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 7% | 26% | 19% | -1.2 | +19.5 | -11.4 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 2,900 from Kana Nakada | 51% | 14% | 19% | 16% | -11.9 | -2.2 | -1.6 | +15.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 15% | 20% | 26% | -1.3 | -3.6 | -5.0 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 37% | 13% | 17% | 34% | -2.2 | +24.3 | -21.2 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 34% | 25% | 8% | 33% | -6.9 | -1.4 | -14.4 | +22.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 22% | 3% | 53% | -1.7 | -15.1 | +14.9 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 11% | 7% | 60% | -1.2 | -1.8 | +5.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 24% | 11% | 10% | 56% | -1.2 | -9.0 | -7.6 | +17.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 4% | 1% | 85% | +0.6 | +2.5 | -8.6 | +5.4 |