Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/26 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Asami Maki ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +25.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -3.4 | -16.2 | +19.7 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 16% | 41% | 23% | +36.4 | -17.0 | -12.0 | -7.4 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 6% | 25% | 18% | -3.1 | +19.1 | -11.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Nakada Kana | 50% | 13% | 20% | 17% | -10.7 | -1.7 | -0.8 | +13.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 15% | 20% | 26% | -3.9 | -3.7 | -2.1 | +9.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 35% | 13% | 20% | 33% | -0.5 | +25.2 | -22.8 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho | 33% | 28% | 9% | 30% | -6.3 | -2.7 | -16.7 | +25.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 20% | 3% | 55% | -2.2 | -13.9 | +14.2 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 21% | 10% | 8% | 61% | -1.0 | -3.3 | +7.4 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 22% | 11% | 10% | 57% | -1.8 | -7.6 | -7.8 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 9% | 4% | 2% | 85% | +1.5 | +2.3 | -9.1 | +5.3 |