Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/26 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +66.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +4.7 | -3.3 | +1.6 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 24% | -13.1 | -5.6 | +21.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 20% | 41% | 21% | -3.0 | +13.9 | -4.0 | -6.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 28% | 38% | 18% | +5.4 | -3.9 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 20% | 26% | 37% | 17% | +0.1 | -0.7 | -23.9 | +24.5 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000 | 21% | 26% | 19% | 34% | -17.1 | -15.8 | +66.9 | -34.1 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 7% | 83% | 6% | +24.1 | -10.5 | -6.3 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 6% | 74% | 5% | +11.4 | -9.0 | -0.9 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 20% | 4% | 71% | 5% | -7.9 | -0.5 | +9.1 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 3% | 86% | 3% | -1.1 | -10.4 | +1.5 | +10.0 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 0% | 90% | 4% | -4.4 | -2.5 | +10.8 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -0.6 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +5.9 | -1.6 | +0.5 | -4.8 |