Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

9/28 Game 1

Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +35.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance	Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance	Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Okada Sayaka Expected pt change	Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change	Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change
East 1	Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000	25%	26%	24%	26%	-11.9	+20.3	-2.0	-6.4
East 2	Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro	17%	40%	22%	21%	-1.4	+30.2	-2.5	-26.3
East 2, 1 honba	Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi	10%	68%	15%	7%	+0.2	-24.0	+25.8	-2.0
East 3	Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi	13%	43%	36%	8%	+12.1	+2.5	-13.4	-1.2
East 4	Draw	21%	48%	24%	8%	-3.4	-3.4	+5.3	+1.5
East 4, 1 honba	Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	18%	44%	29%	9%	-12.6	-14.0	-10.3	+36.9
East 4, 2 honba	Draw	15%	33%	25%	28%	+1.8	-2.9	-4.8	+6.0
East 4, 3 honba	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000	17%	30%	21%	32%	-10.5	-12.5	+43.1	-20.1
South 1	Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000	8%	18%	60%	14%	+35.5	-11.4	-11.1	-12.9
South 1, 1 honba	Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro	28%	13%	49%	10%	+33.9	+0.9	-7.1	-27.7
South 1, 2 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi	60%	9%	30%	1%	+2.7	+31.0	-34.2	+0.6
South 2	Okada Sayaka ron 16,000 from Suzuki Taro	67%	23%	8%	2%	+29.2	-8.5	-0.2	-20.5
South 3	Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi	96%	2%	3%	0%	+1.7	+4.0	-16.1	+10.4
South 4	Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro	99%	1%	0%	0%	+3.0	+0.5	+2.0	-5.5