Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/28 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+79.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Namba Shibukawa | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -1.6 | 0.0 | +13.4 | -11.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 23% | 35% | 18% | -5.8 | +4.9 | -1.3 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 18,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 20% | 27% | 34% | 19% | +0.3 | +45.6 | -6.2 | -39.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,200 | 13% | 64% | 20% | 3% | +8.1 | -4.9 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 60% | 20% | 3% | -0.2 | +3.6 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 66% | 16% | 3% | +21.3 | -6.8 | -5.5 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 32% | 55% | 12% | 1% | +28.5 | -6.2 | -23.9 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 36% | 3% | 1% | -2.8 | -1.8 | +2.9 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Rio Tojyo | 61% | 35% | 3% | 1% | -4.1 | +11.4 | -7.2 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% | -19.5 | +28.9 | -4.2 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 13% | 87% | 0% | 0% | +15.7 | -6.4 | +2.2 | -11.5 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 26% | 73% | 0% | 0% | -3.3 | +4.3 | -4.5 | +3.5 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 17% | 82% | 0% | 0% | +41.3 | -32.6 | +2.6 | -11.3 |