Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/28 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+79.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +40.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -0.9 | -1.1 | +13.9 | -11.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 24% | 36% | 18% | -1.5 | +3.2 | -3.3 | +1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 18,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 22% | 27% | 31% | 20% | -3.4 | +45.7 | -4.4 | -38.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,200 | 12% | 65% | 20% | 4% | +10.0 | -3.6 | -4.1 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 61% | 18% | 3% | +0.9 | +3.1 | -0.9 | -3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 66% | 15% | 2% | +18.4 | -6.9 | -4.6 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 31% | 55% | 13% | 1% | +28.5 | -6.4 | -23.1 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 36% | 3% | 0% | -0.8 | -1.1 | +0.8 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Tojyo Rio | 63% | 34% | 2% | 1% | -5.3 | +10.6 | -5.4 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 47% | 2% | 0% | -20.5 | +29.7 | -4.9 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 10% | 89% | 1% | 0% | +16.6 | -7.2 | +1.8 | -11.1 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 26% | 73% | 0% | 0% | -2.4 | +3.7 | -4.1 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 19% | 81% | 0% | 0% | +40.4 | -32.0 | +2.4 | -10.8 |