Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
9/29 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -2.1 | +22.7 | -1.5 | -19.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 40% | 24% | 15% | +2.0 | +4.6 | -1.9 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 23% | 44% | 21% | 11% | -1.8 | +11.6 | -2.1 | -7.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 54% | 19% | 9% | -0.6 | -3.5 | -1.6 | +5.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 52% | 18% | 11% | -6.8 | +0.2 | +4.4 | +2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 53% | 20% | 11% | -3.9 | +3.7 | +3.7 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 56% | 21% | 10% | -16.2 | +19.9 | -3.7 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 78% | 11% | 6% | +1.2 | -0.1 | +19.2 | -20.2 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 4% | 76% | 19% | 1% | -2.7 | +0.7 | +6.4 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 76% | 22% | 1% | +18.5 | +4.3 | -20.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 89% | 8% | 1% | -2.1 | +3.2 | -5.2 | +4.1 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.1 | +0.1 | +7.7 | -4.7 |