Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +61.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +32.9 | -11.6 | -11.4 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 17% | 15% | 17% | -4.7 | -1.0 | +5.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,000 | 46% | 17% | 19% | 18% | -25.2 | +61.9 | -17.5 | -19.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 67% | 8% | 7% | -8.5 | +23.6 | -8.1 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 7% | 88% | 3% | 2% | +1.6 | -6.3 | +0.6 | +4.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 8% | 85% | 4% | 4% | -1.6 | -2.8 | -3.5 | +7.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 85% | 3% | 5% | -0.9 | -1.6 | -2.8 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 7% | 84% | 2% | 7% | -0.9 | -5.7 | -1.7 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 9% | 78% | 3% | 10% | -0.8 | -25.7 | +30.1 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 54% | 17% | 13% | +38.1 | -13.7 | -13.0 | -11.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 35% | 9% | 8% | +4.1 | +1.1 | -3.2 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 34% | 8% | 8% | -18.6 | -7.9 | -10.2 | +36.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,000 | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% | -24.2 | +58.3 | -11.8 | -22.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 6,400 from Suzuki Daisuke | 1% | 95% | 1% | 3% | +16.5 | -12.4 | -3.0 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,200 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 85% | 1% | 5% | 0.0 | +8.3 | -4.1 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 96% | 0% | 3% | +4.2 | +2.1 | -0.4 | -5.9 |