Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

10/2 Game 1

Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +61.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Suzuki Daisuke● Watanabe Futoshi● Hinata Aiko● Hori Shingo0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Suzuki● Watanabe● Hinata● Hori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultWatanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
East 1Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,00026%26%23%25%+32.9-11.6-11.4-9.9
East 1, 1 honbaDraw51%17%15%17%-4.7-1.0+5.9-0.2
East 2, 2 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,00046%17%19%18%-25.2+61.9-17.5-19.3
East 2, 3 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,00017%67%8%7%-8.5+23.6-8.1-7.1
East 2, 4 honbaHori Shingo ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke7%88%3%2%+1.6-6.3+0.6+4.1
East 3Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke8%85%4%4%-1.6-2.8-3.5+7.9
East 4Draw7%85%3%5%-0.9-1.6-2.8+5.4
East 4, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke7%84%2%7%-0.9-5.7-1.7+8.2
East 4, 2 honbaHinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke9%78%3%10%-0.8-25.7+30.1-3.6
South 1Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,00017%54%17%13%+38.1-13.7-13.0-11.4
South 1, 1 honbaDraw48%35%9%8%+4.1+1.1-3.2-2.0
South 1, 2 honbaHori Shingo tsumo 12,00050%34%8%8%-18.6-7.9-10.2+36.6
South 2Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 24,00034%31%7%28%-24.2+58.3-11.8-22.3
South 2, 1 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 6,400 from Suzuki Daisuke1%95%1%3%+16.5-12.4-3.0-1.1
South 3Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,200 from Hori Shingo9%85%1%5%0.0+8.3-4.1-4.2
South 4Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo2%96%0%3%+4.2+2.1-0.4-5.9

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)