Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 24,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +63.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +29.3 | -8.3 | -8.9 | -12.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 17% | 18% | 16% | -2.5 | -2.5 | +5.8 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 24,000 | 46% | 17% | 22% | 16% | -23.3 | +63.4 | -21.5 | -18.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 68% | 7% | 6% | -10.2 | +22.9 | -5.2 | -7.6 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 6% | 88% | 4% | 3% | +1.0 | -4.8 | -1.9 | +5.7 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 7% | 86% | 3% | 3% | +0.4 | -3.8 | -4.2 | +7.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 85% | 2% | 5% | -1.1 | -2.0 | -0.9 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 8% | 83% | 3% | 6% | -0.5 | -5.6 | -2.5 | +8.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 11% | 78% | 2% | 9% | -0.7 | -24.8 | +29.4 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 55% | 15% | 12% | +35.4 | -14.7 | -10.8 | -9.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 35% | 10% | 9% | +5.2 | +1.7 | -3.4 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 35% | 8% | 6% | -20.5 | -8.5 | -11.2 | +40.2 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 24,000 | 32% | 31% | 6% | 31% | -23.6 | +58.6 | -12.0 | -23.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 6,400 from Daisuke Suzuki | 1% | 94% | 1% | 4% | +18.6 | -12.5 | -3.5 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,200 from Shingo Hori | 9% | 85% | 1% | 5% | -0.2 | +8.9 | -3.0 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +3.9 | +1.5 | -0.7 | -4.7 |