Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -11.9 | -0.3 | +1.8 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 17% | 25% | 26% | 32% | -4.2 | -2.2 | +5.1 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 22% | 29% | 34% | +21.9 | -3.1 | -15.5 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 21% | 18% | 32% | -14.2 | -11.4 | -9.4 | +35.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 11% | 10% | 64% | +0.7 | +1.4 | -5.4 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 15% | 10% | 8% | 67% | -2.7 | -2.0 | +5.1 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 13% | 9% | 10% | 68% | -22.6 | -0.5 | +21.3 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 8% | 16% | 73% | +3.4 | -31.6 | +34.5 | -6.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 45% | 54% | +4.7 | -3.7 | +0.3 | -1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 49% | 51% | 0.0 | +0.8 | -20.2 | +19.3 |