Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -10.2 | -1.5 | +0.6 | +11.1 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 18% | 23% | 25% | 35% | -5.6 | +0.7 | +5.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 22% | 30% | 34% | +24.9 | -4.6 | -14.5 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 21% | 19% | 29% | -15.7 | -11.7 | -8.1 | +35.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 11% | 12% | 63% | 0.0 | +3.3 | -7.9 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 11% | 8% | 66% | -2.2 | -1.8 | +6.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kana Nakada | 13% | 10% | 10% | 67% | -21.3 | -4.4 | +20.9 | +4.8 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 7% | 15% | 75% | +3.4 | -30.4 | +34.9 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 46% | 53% | +3.6 | -2.4 | +0.2 | -1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 51% | 49% | +0.4 | +0.3 | -20.6 | +19.9 |