Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/3 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +40.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -3.6 | -23.2 | +0.3 | +26.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 13% | 22% | 46% | -1.7 | +5.3 | +1.0 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 15% | 24% | 41% | +0.6 | -4.6 | +4.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 21% | 12% | 27% | 41% | -4.6 | -3.7 | +4.8 | +3.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 9% | 29% | 44% | -7.3 | -7.2 | +21.3 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 6% | 47% | 35% | -7.8 | +19.1 | -7.1 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 14% | 43% | 34% | +6.9 | -2.7 | -0.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 14% | 14% | 43% | 29% | -3.6 | +14.2 | -10.8 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 22% | 33% | 33% | +3.6 | -8.1 | +8.4 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 13% | 16% | 43% | 28% | -1.3 | -30.2 | -8.7 | +40.2 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 3% | 1% | 17% | 79% | -20.7 | +43.3 | -30.4 | +7.8 |