Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +23.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 22% | 28% | 25% | -4.9 | +2.2 | -4.2 | +6.9 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 24% | 23% | 31% | -0.7 | +5.4 | -0.9 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 28% | 23% | 28% | -3.4 | -1.4 | -1.7 | +6.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 27% | 23% | 32% | +7.6 | -5.0 | +1.8 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 23% | 23% | 30% | -24.0 | -3.6 | +29.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 10% | 19% | 45% | 27% | +34.4 | +1.8 | -2.8 | -33.3 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 29% | 19% | 42% | 10% | -14.3 | -2.3 | +2.9 | +13.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 19% | 19% | 46% | 16% | -14.1 | +0.4 | -0.8 | +14.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 19% | 46% | 23% | -4.5 | +14.3 | -0.6 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 11% | 28% | 44% | 16% | -7.3 | +8.9 | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 1,500 | 6% | 35% | 43% | 16% | 0.0 | +3.5 | -1.1 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 39% | 42% | 15% | +3.3 | +0.5 | -2.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 6% | 41% | 38% | 15% | -16.8 | +6.0 | -1.2 | +12.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 1% | 50% | 33% | 16% | +29.7 | +23.2 | -9.0 | -43.9 |