Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -7.2 | -0.9 | +1.1 | +7.0 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 20% | 25% | 24% | 31% | -1.3 | +7.1 | -0.8 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 29% | 25% | 27% | -0.1 | -5.8 | -1.9 | +7.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 23% | 32% | +5.8 | -1.9 | +0.5 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 23% | 24% | 29% | -25.6 | -1.6 | +27.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 10% | 19% | 43% | 29% | +36.8 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -35.8 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 29% | 19% | 42% | 9% | -16.3 | -0.3 | +2.3 | +14.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 19% | 46% | 15% | -12.7 | +0.1 | -1.1 | +13.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 21% | 45% | 23% | -4.4 | +12.4 | -0.5 | -7.5 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 11% | 28% | 44% | 16% | -7.1 | +8.7 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 36% | 42% | 16% | -2.9 | +8.1 | -1.5 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 44% | 39% | 13% | +6.1 | -3.0 | -1.2 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 7% | 43% | 37% | 14% | -18.0 | +4.2 | +0.1 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 48% | 35% | 17% | +29.9 | +24.6 | -9.9 | -44.6 |