Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -10.6 | +20.3 | -5.7 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 40% | 20% | 22% | -0.7 | -18.3 | +18.0 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 25% | 34% | 24% | +8.5 | +1.5 | -9.9 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% | -7.8 | +18.5 | -0.6 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 42% | 24% | 17% | -20.6 | -10.5 | -11.1 | +42.1 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 29% | 16% | 50% | -6.7 | -11.4 | +17.4 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 19% | 25% | 53% | +22.7 | -6.8 | -19.5 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Hiroe Sugawara | 13% | 13% | 11% | 63% | -22.9 | +11.9 | -4.7 | +15.7 |