Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/6 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +30.3 | -0.1 | -2.5 | -27.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 23% | 20% | 10% | +15.3 | -6.5 | -3.3 | -5.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 60% | 17% | 16% | 7% | -1.4 | -0.4 | +10.8 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 3,900 | 60% | 15% | 21% | 5% | -5.3 | +9.7 | -2.5 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 3,000 | 54% | 21% | 20% | 5% | -0.2 | +6.3 | -4.4 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 53% | 24% | 18% | 5% | +7.1 | -4.4 | -0.8 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 61% | 19% | 17% | 4% | +2.6 | +5.7 | -3.7 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 65% | 21% | 12% | 3% | -3.5 | -3.6 | +14.4 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 61% | 19% | 19% | 1% | +11.4 | +0.5 | -12.1 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,900 | 74% | 15% | 10% | 1% | +10.1 | -5.7 | -3.6 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 85% | 9% | 6% | 1% | -1.2 | +19.4 | -19.2 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000 | 83% | 15% | 2% | 1% | -27.9 | +41.7 | -7.3 | -6.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 28% | 70% | 1% | 0% | -16.7 | +6.9 | -1.5 | +11.3 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 90% | 1% | 1% | -4.6 | +0.1 | -21.6 | +26.2 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 3% | 96% | 0% | 1% | +6.3 | +1.9 | -6.7 | -1.5 |