Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/6 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+71.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +30.5 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -28.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 46% | 22% | 22% | 10% | +14.2 | -5.0 | -5.8 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 59% | 16% | 17% | 8% | +0.5 | +0.2 | +9.3 | -10.0 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 3,900 | 60% | 15% | 21% | 4% | -4.7 | +8.4 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 55% | 22% | 19% | 5% | -2.7 | +6.2 | -1.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 52% | 25% | 19% | 4% | +9.3 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 62% | 19% | 15% | 3% | +0.8 | +5.8 | -2.0 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 63% | 21% | 13% | 3% | -1.4 | -2.7 | +11.8 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 62% | 20% | 17% | 1% | +11.3 | -0.1 | -12.1 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,900 | 75% | 16% | 9% | 1% | +9.2 | -6.5 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 85% | 9% | 6% | 1% | -1.4 | +20.0 | -19.3 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 82% | 16% | 2% | 1% | -28.6 | +42.5 | -7.5 | -6.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 71% | 1% | 0% | -16.2 | +7.0 | -1.3 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 91% | 1% | 0% | -4.9 | -0.3 | -22.1 | +27.3 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 3% | 96% | 0% | 1% | +6.8 | +1.7 | -6.8 | -1.7 |