Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Hiroe Sugawara, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -5.8 | +8.9 | 0.0 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 31% | 23% | 24% | -1.8 | -1.8 | +4.6 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 29% | 26% | 24% | -1.8 | +11.9 | -6.1 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 37% | 21% | 21% | +36.5 | -10.3 | -7.5 | -18.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 27% | 15% | 9% | -3.9 | +5.6 | +3.7 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 46% | 30% | 17% | 7% | -5.4 | -10.2 | +38.5 | -22.9 |
| South 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 34% | 17% | 47% | 2% | +15.9 | +7.9 | -35.7 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 21% | 12% | 4% | -7.5 | +10.4 | -5.6 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 36% | 9% | 5% | -6.2 | -5.5 | +9.3 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 32% | 20% | 7% | -2.1 | -2.4 | -1.0 | +5.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 38% | 30% | 21% | 10% | -11.6 | +39.2 | -12.6 | -15.0 |