Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -6.4 | +8.5 | -2.6 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 30% | 23% | 27% | +0.8 | -2.4 | +6.1 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 27% | 28% | 23% | -3.6 | +11.6 | -6.1 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 38% | 22% | 22% | +38.5 | -9.7 | -8.2 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 49% | 27% | 15% | 9% | -3.0 | +4.1 | +3.2 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 48% | 28% | 16% | 8% | -5.8 | -7.7 | +37.1 | -23.6 |
| South 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 35% | 19% | 44% | 2% | +15.9 | +6.0 | -33.3 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 64% | 20% | 12% | 4% | -9.2 | +11.6 | -6.3 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 37% | 10% | 6% | -5.3 | -7.1 | +10.5 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 40% | 31% | 22% | 7% | -1.0 | -1.7 | -1.0 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 39% | 29% | 23% | 9% | -12.3 | +39.8 | -13.9 | -13.5 |