Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +31.0 | -7.6 | -12.0 | -11.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 50% | 18% | 16% | 16% | -1.7 | +4.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 49% | 19% | 16% | 16% | +1.4 | -26.0 | -0.5 | +25.1 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 7% | 14% | 30% | -11.7 | -6.9 | +30.4 | -11.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 37% | 5% | 36% | 23% | +3.6 | +17.5 | -0.9 | -20.2 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 42% | 11% | 34% | 13% | +1.0 | +10.3 | +2.9 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 42% | 15% | 37% | 7% | -7.2 | -3.7 | +26.1 | -15.3 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 9% | 65% | 2% | +33.6 | -4.1 | -28.7 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 2% | 20% | 2% | +3.5 | -2.1 | -3.6 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 86% | 1% | 12% | 2% | +9.1 | -2.0 | -1.7 | -5.4 |