Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +31.6 | -13.5 | -9.9 | -8.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 49% | 16% | 18% | 17% | -0.4 | +9.1 | -4.8 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 49% | 20% | 15% | 16% | +2.3 | -28.1 | +0.4 | +25.4 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 7% | 14% | 29% | -12.7 | -6.1 | +29.0 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 37% | 6% | 33% | 25% | +2.2 | +18.6 | +1.1 | -22.0 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 40% | 11% | 35% | 14% | +3.1 | +9.0 | +1.7 | -13.8 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 43% | 15% | 35% | 7% | -8.6 | -3.4 | +26.5 | -14.5 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 9% | 64% | 2% | +33.0 | -4.5 | -27.0 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 74% | 3% | 21% | 2% | +4.8 | -2.9 | -4.8 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 86% | 1% | 11% | 2% | +8.9 | -1.4 | -1.1 | -6.3 |