Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/10 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.4 | -0.6 | -3.1 | +7.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 23% | 30% | -4.3 | +0.8 | -0.7 | +4.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 25% | 23% | 33% | -3.6 | -6.2 | -6.7 | +16.5 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 18% | 18% | 49% | +24.0 | -5.8 | -14.0 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 15% | 10% | 42% | 0.0 | -3.6 | +10.3 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 34% | 14% | 15% | 37% | -3.2 | -4.6 | +6.9 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 13% | 19% | 39% | +42.6 | -19.3 | -10.2 | -13.1 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 81% | 1% | 7% | 12% | +1.5 | +1.4 | -17.8 | +14.8 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | +4.5 | +14.1 | -11.3 | -7.3 |