Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/12 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+69.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +51.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 23% | 24% | 26% | 27% | +0.4 | -1.2 | +20.4 | -19.6 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 22% | 41% | 15% | -15.7 | +46.3 | -18.0 | -12.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 11% | 62% | 21% | 7% | +8.4 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -7.2 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 61% | 19% | 6% | -18.3 | +3.2 | +1.0 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 67% | 19% | 8% | -15.9 | -17.5 | -18.3 | +51.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 44% | 11% | 41% | -8.2 | -20.6 | -11.4 | +40.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 12% | 2% | 85% | -1.6 | +5.5 | +0.3 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 15% | 3% | 82% | +0.3 | +16.3 | -14.4 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 25% | 1% | 74% | -10.3 | -19.0 | +27.8 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 8% | 6% | 87% | -0.5 | -1.7 | -4.4 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | +0.6 | -0.1 | -0.7 | +0.3 |