Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/13 Game 1
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +70.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -5.7 | +3.1 | +4.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 28% | 23% | -1.0 | -8.0 | +7.5 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,300 from Hiroshi Daigo | 22% | 19% | 33% | 26% | +13.1 | +1.5 | -12.0 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 21% | 23% | 24% | -9.6 | -6.8 | -8.5 | +24.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 24,000 | 24% | 16% | 18% | 43% | -16.7 | +70.8 | -15.3 | -38.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,300 from Hiroshi Daigo | 6% | 82% | 5% | 7% | -3.0 | +2.9 | -11.0 | +11.1 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000 | 2% | 88% | 3% | 8% | -15.0 | -15.9 | +48.3 | -17.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 72% | 20% | 7% | -4.7 | +11.9 | -6.2 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 92% | 4% | 4% | -6.3 | +6.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 |