Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/13 Game 1
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 24,000, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +70.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -4.6 | +3.5 | +1.5 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.4 | -5.9 | +8.1 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,300 from Daigo Hiroshi | 23% | 20% | 32% | 25% | +10.7 | +1.3 | -10.7 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 30% | 22% | 24% | 24% | -8.1 | -7.3 | -11.2 | +26.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 24,000 | 23% | 16% | 17% | 44% | -17.3 | +70.0 | -13.6 | -39.1 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,300 from Daigo Hiroshi | 6% | 82% | 5% | 7% | -4.0 | +2.1 | -7.7 | +9.6 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000 | 2% | 86% | 4% | 8% | -13.6 | -15.0 | +44.3 | -15.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 73% | 19% | 7% | -4.5 | +11.6 | -5.4 | -1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 91% | 4% | 4% | -6.4 | +6.3 | -0.1 | +0.2 |