Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +21.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -4.7 | +0.4 | +1.4 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 25% | 25% | 30% | -3.4 | -13.4 | -4.4 | +21.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 14% | 21% | 47% | -4.5 | +6.1 | -6.7 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 15% | 18% | 15% | 52% | -2.1 | -0.6 | -17.2 | +19.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 10% | 12% | 7% | 71% | +1.3 | -0.7 | -7.5 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 10% | 4% | 79% | -6.3 | -5.4 | +20.4 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 8% | 10% | 9% | 73% | -3.9 | +21.4 | -21.4 | +3.9 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 3% | 15% | 4% | 78% | -0.1 | -37.9 | +34.7 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 1% | 10% | 87% | -5.4 | +5.1 | -4.1 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | -13.7 | +3.8 | +18.5 | -8.5 |