Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +23.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,300 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -7.1 | +1.8 | +1.4 | +3.9 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 26% | 25% | 29% | -4.5 | -14.1 | -4.8 | +23.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 14% | 20% | 48% | -3.2 | +6.8 | -5.9 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 14% | 19% | 16% | 51% | +1.8 | -3.3 | -18.6 | +20.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 12% | 11% | 6% | 71% | -3.4 | +1.4 | -5.7 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 9% | 4% | 79% | -4.9 | -6.0 | +17.8 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 8% | 9% | 8% | 75% | -4.4 | +22.3 | -19.3 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 16% | 3% | 77% | +0.1 | -38.7 | +33.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 1% | 9% | 88% | -6.5 | +5.9 | -3.0 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | -12.8 | +3.3 | +18.0 | -8.6 |