Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/16 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 16,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +46.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 26% | 22% | 25% | -10.7 | -3.3 | +17.5 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 24% | 35% | 23% | -11.1 | +30.4 | -10.4 | -8.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 46% | 25% | 17% | -5.7 | -2.0 | +8.2 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 10% | 43% | 31% | 16% | -4.4 | -10.6 | +23.7 | -8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 30% | 52% | 11% | -1.4 | -2.9 | +7.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 25% | 60% | 9% | -2.7 | -3.7 | +6.4 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 20% | 66% | 8% | -6.2 | +37.8 | -23.5 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 2% | 60% | 33% | 5% | +17.9 | +8.0 | -20.5 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 76% | 15% | 3% | -5.3 | -2.1 | +9.7 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 16,000 | 3% | 74% | 21% | 3% | -6.9 | -33.1 | +46.1 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 15% | 85% | 1% | +11.0 | -4.4 | +3.6 | -10.2 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 95% | 0% | +9.2 | -0.3 | -5.7 | -3.2 |