Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/16 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -0.8 | +4.8 | -5.4 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 25% | 27% | 20% | 28% | -3.5 | +25.1 | +0.2 | -21.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 48% | 19% | 13% | +2.1 | -6.7 | +2.6 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 22% | 42% | 21% | 15% | +27.2 | -0.8 | -25.3 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 42% | 38% | 7% | 12% | +0.8 | -2.2 | +25.8 | -24.5 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000 | 44% | 36% | 17% | 4% | +19.1 | -7.5 | -8.3 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 66% | 23% | 9% | 2% | -0.5 | +8.4 | -7.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 66% | 26% | 6% | 2% | +9.0 | -9.1 | +0.9 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Nakabayashi Kei | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | -11.3 | +17.0 | -4.5 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 64% | 33% | 1% | 2% | +16.2 | -13.2 | +2.4 | -5.4 |