Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -21.1 | +0.9 | +18.6 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 24% | 39% | 25% | -1.1 | +4.4 | +0.1 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 26% | 40% | 22% | -1.4 | -5.4 | +8.4 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 11% | 22% | 46% | 21% | -19.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | +21.1 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 17% | 44% | 35% | -5.8 | +27.3 | -5.8 | -15.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 41% | 37% | 20% | -5.7 | +3.3 | -2.6 | +4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 43% | 33% | 24% | -0.5 | +11.7 | -3.5 | -7.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 59% | 27% | 15% | -1.7 | -36.3 | +0.5 | +37.5 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 17% | 27% | 56% | +9.2 | +5.4 | -28.0 | +13.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 12% | 5% | 83% | -2.6 | -1.2 | -2.1 | +5.9 |