Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 24% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -21.1 | -3.4 | +21.0 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 23% | 40% | 26% | -1.4 | +5.0 | -1.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 26% | 39% | 24% | -1.3 | -4.6 | +9.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 10% | 21% | 48% | 20% | -19.7 | -1.6 | -0.7 | +22.0 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 18% | 45% | 33% | -5.1 | +26.9 | -6.3 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 41% | 37% | 20% | -5.4 | +3.2 | -1.7 | +3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 43% | 34% | 22% | -1.0 | +12.2 | -4.6 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 59% | 26% | 15% | -1.5 | -37.4 | +1.0 | +38.0 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 16% | 27% | 57% | +9.3 | +6.5 | -27.6 | +11.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 13% | 5% | 82% | -2.6 | -1.2 | -3.1 | +6.8 |