Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/17 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +87.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -0.2 | -21.6 | +20.3 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 23% | 13% | 39% | 25% | +0.5 | -1.2 | +14.8 | -14.1 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 10% | 53% | 15% | -5.3 | -8.5 | -11.0 | +24.8 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 8% | 42% | 31% | -8.3 | +32.9 | -4.6 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 25% | 41% | 18% | +7.3 | +0.2 | +0.4 | -7.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 25% | 41% | 15% | -2.6 | +28.3 | -3.7 | -22.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 50% | 32% | 5% | -3.4 | -0.3 | +0.4 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 52% | 31% | 6% | -4.4 | +4.7 | +1.4 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 58% | 30% | 5% | -2.2 | +2.1 | -2.7 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 61% | 26% | 7% | -26.0 | -31.7 | -29.3 | +87.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 9% | 3% | 88% | -4.4 | -7.8 | -5.6 | +17.8 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.7 | +9.8 | -2.9 | -3.1 |