Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/17 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +86.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -0.5 | -20.7 | +21.4 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 14% | 41% | 23% | -0.1 | -3.9 | +14.6 | -10.6 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 9% | 55% | 16% | -6.6 | -7.9 | -8.5 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 7% | 46% | 30% | -8.0 | +34.6 | -6.6 | -20.1 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 14% | 26% | 42% | 18% | +9.8 | -0.5 | -1.9 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 26% | 39% | 15% | -4.1 | +27.3 | -0.1 | -23.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 49% | 34% | 5% | -2.7 | +1.3 | -1.7 | +3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 53% | 31% | 6% | -3.5 | +4.0 | +0.5 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 58% | 29% | 5% | -2.3 | +2.3 | -2.8 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 62% | 24% | 8% | -26.6 | -31.3 | -28.2 | +86.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 87% | -4.5 | -9.1 | -4.4 | +18.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.6 | +10.2 | -4.0 | -2.6 |