Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/19 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+69.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -3.4 | -1.7 | -0.5 | +5.6 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 23% | 25% | 30% | -2.9 | +8.2 | -4.4 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 28% | 22% | 29% | -13.6 | +43.4 | -13.1 | -16.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 65% | 11% | 13% | -4.8 | -2.6 | -3.0 | +10.4 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 8% | 64% | 10% | 18% | -13.9 | +0.2 | +16.3 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 64% | 15% | 16% | -12.0 | -19.4 | +43.9 | -12.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 37% | 52% | 10% | +0.3 | -30.7 | +29.5 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 2% | 8% | 84% | 6% | -2.8 | -1.1 | -27.8 | +31.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Tojyo Rio | 2% | 13% | 56% | 29% | +4.1 | +2.4 | -3.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,600 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 16% | 55% | 26% | -4.9 | +3.3 | -2.5 | +4.1 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 17% | 53% | 30% | -1.1 | +12.1 | -6.5 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 27% | 45% | 27% | -9.0 | +50.5 | -22.6 | -18.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 84% | 10% | 6% | -0.4 | -14.1 | -4.1 | +18.6 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 70% | 12% | 17% | +0.1 | +13.8 | +0.3 | -14.2 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 91% | 1% | 8% | -0.6 | +6.7 | +6.3 | -12.5 |