Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/19 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+69.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +52.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -2.2 | -2.2 | +0.4 | +4.0 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 21% | 25% | 29% | -1.4 | +7.7 | -5.7 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 28% | 22% | 28% | -17.0 | +45.4 | -12.3 | -16.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 66% | 11% | 14% | -4.7 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki | 7% | 66% | 11% | 16% | -12.5 | -0.8 | +14.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 64% | 15% | 16% | -11.5 | -21.0 | +45.1 | -12.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 34% | 53% | 11% | -1.9 | -28.9 | +29.0 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 1% | 8% | 85% | 6% | -2.0 | +1.7 | -28.9 | +29.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Rio Tojyo | 2% | 15% | 56% | 27% | +3.9 | -1.7 | -5.3 | +3.2 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,600 from Rio Tojyo | 3% | 15% | 52% | 31% | -4.7 | +4.3 | +0.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 17% | 54% | 29% | -1.2 | +12.3 | -8.7 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 27% | 43% | 29% | -8.1 | +52.0 | -23.3 | -20.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 85% | 8% | 6% | -0.8 | -15.4 | -1.7 | +17.9 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 71% | 12% | 17% | 0.0 | +14.1 | -0.1 | -14.0 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 92% | 1% | 7% | -0.5 | +6.4 | +6.1 | -12.0 |