Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/19 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -0.7 | -20.6 | +20.9 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 23% | 12% | 40% | 25% | -1.4 | +32.2 | -0.7 | -30.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 31% | 38% | 10% | -3.5 | -8.8 | +14.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 18% | 21% | 53% | 8% | -0.5 | -3.7 | +10.1 | -5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 16% | 63% | 5% | -2.3 | +4.9 | -1.5 | -1.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 13% | 20% | 61% | 6% | -28.7 | +37.1 | -6.3 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,500 | 2% | 50% | 46% | 2% | +3.2 | -2.3 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 48% | 46% | 3% | -12.4 | +31.6 | -16.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 87% | 13% | 1% | +2.9 | +3.4 | -2.6 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 90% | 9% | 0% | -14.2 | -3.0 | +11.9 | +5.3 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 85% | 15% | 0% | +2.2 | -0.7 | +1.6 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 84% | 16% | 1% | -3.2 | -5.4 | +9.0 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,400 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 73% | 27% | 0% | -0.3 | -10.0 | +10.5 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 55% | 45% | 0% | -0.9 | -8.5 | +10.2 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 36% | 63% | 0% | -5.1 | +19.3 | -29.3 | +15.2 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 84% | 16% | 1% | -8.7 | -13.0 | -12.6 | +34.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 74% | 13% | 13% | -0.1 | +12.0 | -0.6 | -11.2 |