Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/19 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 24% | 23% | 25% | 27% | +0.8 | -18.6 | +20.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 13% | 40% | 23% | -3.6 | +30.1 | +0.7 | -27.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 29% | 42% | 10% | -0.9 | -9.9 | +14.2 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 17% | 20% | 55% | 8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | +7.9 | -7.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 19% | 61% | 5% | -4.2 | +4.4 | -2.4 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 13% | 21% | 60% | 6% | -28.0 | +35.4 | -4.5 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 49% | 46% | 2% | +2.9 | -2.1 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 48% | 47% | 2% | -13.0 | +32.3 | -16.6 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 87% | 13% | 1% | +3.4 | +2.6 | -3.0 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 89% | 11% | 1% | -14.0 | -2.4 | +11.1 | +5.4 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 85% | 15% | 0% | +1.8 | -2.0 | +4.0 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 81% | 19% | 0% | -3.0 | -3.8 | +7.3 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,400 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 73% | 27% | 0% | -0.1 | -11.4 | +11.6 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 53% | 47% | 0% | -1.4 | -7.5 | +10.0 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 36% | 64% | 0% | -5.0 | +19.7 | -30.2 | +15.5 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 84% | 16% | 1% | -8.9 | -13.0 | -12.7 | +34.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 73% | 13% | 14% | +0.2 | +11.8 | -0.4 | -11.7 |