Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/20 Game 2
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +19.4 | -6.7 | -7.6 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 38% | 21% | 20% | 22% | +1.0 | -5.9 | -0.9 | +5.8 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 6,400 from Takaya Matsugase | 38% | 17% | 19% | 26% | -1.5 | -17.8 | +1.8 | +17.6 |
| East 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 36% | 8% | 19% | 37% | -33.4 | +1.9 | +33.5 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 9% | 44% | 34% | +2.3 | -4.3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 7% | 46% | 32% | +29.4 | -8.3 | -15.0 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 5% | 32% | 29% | -5.1 | -0.4 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 29% | 5% | 31% | 35% | +2.1 | -2.0 | +17.0 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 29% | 4% | 48% | 20% | +5.0 | +20.2 | -23.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 11% | 27% | 24% | +2.8 | -10.6 | +11.6 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 42% | 5% | 35% | 18% | -7.3 | +3.4 | +26.2 | -22.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 2% | 68% | 7% | -3.4 | -11.2 | -0.4 | +15.1 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 3,200 | 16% | 0% | 73% | 11% | -3.2 | -5.0 | +16.3 | -8.1 |