Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/20 Game 2
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | +16.8 | -6.1 | -7.4 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 38% | 21% | 18% | 23% | -1.9 | -6.0 | +0.7 | +7.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 6,400 from Matsugase Takaya | 37% | 17% | 19% | 27% | +1.4 | -17.2 | -0.1 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 35% | 8% | 18% | 38% | -34.8 | -0.4 | +36.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 7% | 45% | 35% | +1.6 | -1.7 | +0.9 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 7% | 45% | 35% | +29.9 | -9.1 | -13.1 | -7.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 6% | 33% | 29% | -1.6 | -1.6 | -4.6 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu | 32% | 5% | 28% | 35% | -1.2 | 0.0 | +19.7 | -18.4 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 28% | 4% | 50% | 18% | +5.8 | +21.3 | -26.4 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 2,000 | 38% | 13% | 26% | 23% | +0.2 | -13.0 | +15.5 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu | 36% | 5% | 39% | 20% | -4.3 | +4.0 | +24.2 | -23.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 2% | 69% | 6% | -3.2 | -11.6 | -2.2 | +16.9 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 3,200 | 17% | 1% | 72% | 11% | -3.9 | -4.7 | +17.6 | -9.1 |