Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -9.1 | +14.6 | -5.7 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 17% | 35% | 22% | 26% | +1.4 | -11.4 | 0.0 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 6,400 from Aki Nikaido | 20% | 27% | 21% | 32% | -17.4 | -0.2 | -2.1 | +19.7 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 23% | 18% | 50% | -12.1 | -16.0 | -12.8 | +40.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 4% | 4% | 89% | +11.0 | 0.0 | -11.4 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 3% | 4% | 2% | 92% | -5.1 | -1.0 | +11.3 | -5.2 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 1% | 5% | 4% | 91% | -24.7 | -4.5 | +29.3 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 1% | 9% | 91% | -1.3 | -0.1 | -3.7 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +12.7 | -4.2 | -1.5 | -7.0 |