Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.1 | -0.8 | +1.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 24% | 26% | 27% | -7.8 | -18.1 | +34.3 | -8.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 16% | 11% | 55% | 18% | -0.6 | -19.3 | -1.5 | +21.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 5% | 53% | 29% | -1.9 | -13.6 | -4.2 | +19.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 2% | 42% | 46% | +8.6 | -4.5 | +1.7 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 2% | 44% | 39% | +4.1 | -1.0 | +1.6 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 1% | 48% | 34% | -19.3 | +20.4 | +0.5 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 7% | 5% | 53% | 35% | +0.3 | -13.3 | +15.7 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 7,800 | 2% | 0% | 74% | 23% | -3.9 | -2.4 | +14.7 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 0% | 90% | 9% | -2.7 | -1.4 | -0.2 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 9% | +0.5 | -1.2 | +5.1 | -4.4 |