Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.9 | +1.3 | +2.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 26% | 27% | 26% | -7.7 | -18.2 | +32.8 | -6.9 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 11% | 54% | 19% | -0.4 | -18.9 | -0.9 | +20.1 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 6% | 52% | 29% | -0.5 | -13.5 | -3.9 | +17.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 3% | 43% | 43% | +8.0 | -5.3 | +1.3 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 14% | 2% | 44% | 40% | +1.7 | -1.2 | +2.7 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 2% | 48% | 36% | -16.1 | +19.8 | -1.2 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 8% | 5% | 52% | 36% | -0.7 | -12.8 | +16.6 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 0% | 73% | 24% | -3.0 | -3.7 | +15.2 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 90% | 9% | -3.5 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +4.1 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | +0.8 | -1.7 | +5.0 | -4.0 |