Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -19.6 | -8.7 | -4.6 | +32.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 17% | 19% | 52% | 0.0 | -4.4 | +6.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 12% | 15% | 23% | 51% | -0.8 | -28.4 | -2.2 | +31.3 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 2% | 11% | 82% | -0.9 | -0.7 | -3.0 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 2% | 7% | 86% | +11.2 | -6.0 | -2.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 1% | 7% | 85% | +0.8 | +3.7 | -3.5 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 6,400 from Daigo Hiroshi | 6% | 1% | 6% | 86% | -5.0 | -12.3 | +17.2 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 1% | 10% | 87% | -2.5 | +3.1 | +1.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 12% | 85% | -3.0 | -5.0 | +4.9 | +3.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,300 from Suzuki Daisuke | 1% | 0% | 10% | 89% | -0.4 | -0.9 | -6.3 | +7.6 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +30.2 | -0.3 | -17.0 | -12.9 |